ΛCDM is alive and well
- Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology
- Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier
- Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology
- IJCLab
- Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology
- Research Institute in Astrophysics and Planetology
Abstract
Despite its successes, the ΛCDM model faces several tensions with recent cosmological data and their increased accuracy. The mismatch between the values of the Hubble constant H0 obtained from {some} direct distance ladder measurements and from the cosmic microwave background (CMB) is the most statistically significant, but the amplitude of the matter fluctuations is also regarded as a serious concern, leading to the investigation of a plethora of {alternative} models. Here, we examine the situation from a different perspective. We first show that the combination of several recent measurements from local probes leads to a tight constraint on the present-day matter density Ωm as well as on the amplitude of the matter fluctuations, both acceptably consistent with the values inferred from the CMB. Secondly, we address the Hubble tension by assuming that some determinations of the value of H0 are possibly biased. We treat such a bias as a nuisance parameter within ΛCDM and we examine such ``ΛCDM+ H0 bias’’ models on the same statistical grounds as alternative cosmological models. A bias in Planck or in SH0ES produces similar improvements. However we show that a bias in the Cepheids calibration produces improvements in terms of ΔAIC that supersede existing extended models proposed up to now. In a third step, we show that the value of Ωm we obtained from our RSD, Pantheon+ and 3×2pt from DES, combined with SH0ES determination of H0, leads to a precise determination of the density parameter of the Universe ωm=0.1753±0.0069. This measurement provides an additional low-redshift test for cosmological models by comparing it to the preferred value derived from the CMB. From this test, most ΛCDM extensions seem to be confronted with a new tension as many of them cluster around ωm=0.14, while there is no tension with a local $H_0 \sim 67 $ km/s/Mpc. We conclude that a standard ΛCDM model with an unknown bias in the Cepheids distance calibration represents a model that reaches a remarkable agreement, statistically better than previously proposed extensions without bias for which such a comparison can be performed.